I get letters and emails from people who are
“simply over it!”. They have spent a fortune on self improvement, books, tapes
CD’s, “mystical software”, clairvoyants…etc and they are still struggling
financially.
They give up, and who would blame them. If I had
spent thousands on all these shysters I’d be over it too.
Are you one of these people who trusted those
people only to find that they were only selling “sizzle” not “steak”?
For instance, have you…….
Bought trading
software for trading shares, options or betting on horses and spent up to
$.10,000?
Had your broker
recommend a stock only for it to immediately drop through the floor. Not
once, but time after time?
Have you bought
wealth and investment books in the past, but not really received the rock
solid answers you were looking for?
Been sold an
investment by an investment adviser only to find he’s only selling what he
makes the most commission on? And of course it wasn’t a good investment?
Have you subscribed
to a newsletter service only to find that it only just “beat the market” or
worse?
Never been able to
understand this share market stuff?
Been too worried
about losing money to do anything?
Well, you
are not alone. So many people, my staff at Trident Press speak to have mentioned
one of these reasons to be suspicious of anybody selling “instant wealth”.
There is no such thing as “instant wealth”! You
have to work at it, you have to develop your skills, and you need experience. If
you get the balance all 3 right, and you don’t give up…. You’ll end up wealthy.
Most people will tell you there are no shortcuts to wealth…. And to a certain
extent that’s true, but I do have one I’ll share with you a little later in this
article.
As
anybody in my position would do I have and do subscribe to investment
newsletters, e-letters, advisory services… heaps of them. If I hear through the
grapevine that this or that newsletter is out performing, my curiosity get’s the
better of me, I can’t help it. I subscribe… and every single time I’m let down.
I see they trot out the same old rubbish. It’s like they all get together and
swap notes or something. They are all so conservative and conventional in their
investment ideas. This will result in mediocrity not the results you were
looking for when you read the brochure and the advertisement.
Over the
years, I have subscribed to over 100 newsletters around the world and most I
have let lapse after my initial subscription period was over. They just don’t
cut it in my opinion. Am I being a little too harsh? Do I expect too much? Yes,
probably on both counts!
However,
I want to share something with you. Over the last month, I thought I would do
some research on some of these newsletters and report to you on what I have
found. Now, I’m not criticizing any of them, in fact the ones I am about to
mention are probably the best of the best. If I don’t mention one, that’s
because it’s probably obscure, is only focused on one type of investment or it’s
not displayed consistent returns over the last few years.
So, let’s
have a look at what I have found.
Now,
before I start I have to say, getting information about subscription prices and
performance returns is almost impossible on the Australian based newsletters.
The US based ones are a lot easier and far more accessible.
Some
companies won’t reveal their performance, and maybe for good reason, I don’t
know, so I left them out
But here
is the information I put together using Hulbert’s Financial Digest and each
company’s own website. Ranked by the best average return over 3-5 years.
Newsletters with losing years have been eliminated.
Newsletter Name
Cost pa
Average Annual Return
Benchmark Return
The Best
US – Global Newsletters
Nates Notes
US$.150
40.9%pa
11.7% S&P 500
Outstanding
Investments
US$.99
38.3%pa
11.7% S&P 500
The Ruff Times
US$.149
37.7%pa
11.7% S&P 500
Global Investing
US$.185
33.8%pa
11.7% S&P 500
The Best
Australian Newsletters
Rivkin Report
AUD$.600
31.00%pa
26.4% All Ords
Intelligent Investor
AUD$.379
29.80%pa
26.4% All Ords
Fat Prophets
AUD$.699
29.20%pa
26.4% All Ords
Huntley’s
AUD$.360
27.20%pa
26.4% All Ords
So, what do you think? It’s clear the Americans
are better at this stuff than the Australians. They all beat their market by
wide margins. The best the Australian based gurus could do was “edge past”.
Still they did beat the market and that should be applauded…. So many don’t!
While I
was putting all this together, I thought I should also include the world’s most
popular newsletters so you have an idea of what they are doing. I’m sure you’ve
heard of most of them.
Newsletter Name
Cost pa
Average Annual Return
Benchmark Return
ChangeWave Investor
US$.299
13.9%pa
11.7% S&P 500
Dines Newsletter
US$.195
29.20%pa
11.7% S&P 500
Elliott Wave
US$.228
2.4%pa
11.7% S&P 500
Fidelity Monitor
US$.139
11.7%pa
11.7% S&P 500
Forbes Growth Investor
US$.149
8.2%pa
11.7% S&P 500
Fred Hager
US$.300
26.6%pa
11.7% S&P 500
Louis Navellier
Emerging Growth
US$.995
10.3%pa
11.7% S&P 500
Motley Fool Stock
Advisor
US$.196
23.1%pa
11.7% S&P 500
Morningstar Stock
Investor
US$.99
10.4%pa
11.7% S&P 500
The Oxford Club
US$.150
16.5%pa
11.7% S&P 500
Prudent Speculator
US$.295
19.2%pa
11.7% S&P 500
Standard & Poors
Outlook
US$.298
5.9%pa
11.7% S&P 500
Zacks Advisor
US$.450
11.5%pa
11.7% S&P 500
Now, what
do you think about what’s going on out there. Are you really suspicious as to
whether some companies have no idea? I can’t believe organisations with the
resources of Forbes, Morningstar and Standard & Poors can’t best the market! Are
they employing idiots? Is their analyst recruiting centre the “Happy Acres
Sanatorium”?
I can’t
miss this opportunity, naturally to point something out…….
Newsletter Name
Cost pa
Average Annual Return -
3 years
Benchmark Return
Trident Confidential
Newsletter
Australian &
Global Stocks
FREE when you buy The
Ultimate Wealth CD
96.33%pa
19.05% S&P 500 and All
Ords
Yes, I
do produce the best performing newsletter portfolio in the world.
Something
I’m pretty proud of. The return of 96.33% is averaged over 3 years, and by the
way, the worst yearly performance is 75% in 2006.
So, why
have I done so well? Keeping it simple? Yes, probably. But there’s one other
little difference between me and almost everybody in the tables above….. I use
my own money! The analysts of most of the newsletters above aren’t putting their
money where their mouth is. I do. When you put your own money on the line you
tend to be very careful and diligent. That’s what I feel makes the difference.
Now, I
should point out a few things that the cynics may be thinking:
I don’t use leverage in
any form.
I don’t invest
in CFD’s, options, warrants, futures or any derivatives…. Just good stocks.
I invest in the stocks the
day after the newsletter comes out and if at another time I usually pay
around the same price as quoted in the portfolio, and no I don’t just buy 1
share, a put in at least $10,000 on each one.
This is my money and
I have worked hard for it… I’m not going to throw it away by buying rubbish
stocks.
There’s
the brutally honest situation. There’s nothing to be gained by telling lies.
There are
no shortcuts. It took me ages to get the investment balance right, nearly 20
years to be honest. It’s now my full time job to hone the skills I've acquired….
I’m still learning, more from experience than from other so-called "experts". I
really love my job, but I spend long hours researching stocks to ensure the
Trident Confidential Model Portfolio invests in only the best stocks I can find.
Twenty
years of professional accounting actually did come in handy!
On Monday
8th of October 2007, I sent out the latest Trident Confidential to my
subscribers, I had started doing all the research a month or two earlier, but I
had to wait until 6am Saturday morning (Australian Time) before I could start
putting it together as I had to wait for New York to close to check to see if
all the stocks I wanted to buy (I use Comsec.com.au - easy as falling off a log)
were still in range and that there was no bad news to account for. At this
point, I start work. I worked all day Saturday, started again at 5.30am on
Sunday and continued again Monday at 5.00 am until all 77 pages were complete.
Then I rushed to get it out as people are checking their email that Monday
afternoon, so the prices that they see are the closing prices from the last
trading session. As far as I know, Trident Confidential is the only newsletter
of this magnitude that goes to this much trouble.
In the
November 2007 edition we announced 15 new additions to the portfolio rated from
Low Risk to High Risk.
In 24
hours, this is what happened….. The S&P 500 in New York dropped 0.32% - The ASX
went up 0.31% on the Monday.
The
Low Risk additions of which there were 5 stocks, went up by an average of 2.08%
The
Medium Risk additions of which there were 6 stocks, went up by an average of
2.67%
The
High Risk Stock of which there was only one stock, went up 5.74%
None lost money from the
purchase price - I like that!
The
other 3 stocks (to make up the 15) that were added and notified to members on
the 6th September in our mid issue, Brief are up: 13.75%, 28.18% and 33.23% in
about a month, they were Low to Medium risk stocks.
There
are no stocks in the portfolio in loss at the time of writing. The best profit
we’ve had was 2,053% and still going up in the Portfolio at a rate of knots and
the worst result was 21% loss. That was a big mistake that I won’t do again!
I
review every addition to the portfolio as if I was buying the whole business,
lock stock and barrel.
That’s
the secret of putting your money where your mouth is. It’s one thing to "talk
the talk", it’s a whole other thing to "walk the walk".
Good Investing!
Regards,
Lance Spicer
Next
time you sit down with your broker or financial adviser… ask to have a look at
their portfolio, you may be surprised by their answer......